Prediction Case File
SOLUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Satoshi Stacker2026-04-12T13:01:13dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.52%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
81.92
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
99.64
Predicted objective
Invalidation
79.04
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
83.35
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
21.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.52%
Risk / Reward
6.15
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-3.52%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-04-12T13:01:13
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Resolved Candle
2026-02-11T15:00:00
Max High
88.69
Max High At
2026-02-09T18:00:00
Min Low
78.56
Min Low At
2026-02-11T15:00:00
Time To Result
876.83h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Satoshi Stacker
YouTube · @stackersatoshi
Reliability
50.64
Success Rate
38.71%
Consistency
89.82
Risk Adjusted
-8.43
Avg Return
-2.34%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
DyWeE3D69dQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The current market sentiment suggests a mixed outlook across different assets. Bitcoin and Ethereum are showing bullish momentum, testing key resistance levels. However, failure to hold these levels could lead to a pullback. Solana appears bearish, struggling to maintain support. The S&P 500 futures are also showing signs of upward momentum, but a retracement is possible. Gold is facing resistance and could potentially see a downturn. The overall market is influenced by geopolitical events, particularly the situation in the Middle East, which could lead to increased volatility.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
SOLUSDT Bullish Signal by Satoshi Stacker | Tahlil Plus AI