Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

CryptoTradingKS2026-04-30T02:51:52intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.79%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
2,241.86
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
3,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
2,256
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
33.82%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.79%
Risk / Reward
3.13
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-10.79%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality56.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-04-30T02:51:52
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Resolved Candle
2026-02-10T06:00:00
Max High
2,147.73
Max High At
2026-02-09T20:00:00
Min Low
1,997.59
Min Low At
2026-02-10T06:00:00
Time To Result
454.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

CryptoTradingKS
YouTube · @CryptoTradingKS
Reliability
54.56
Success Rate
44.18%
Consistency
94.6
Risk Adjusted
-4.33
Avg Return
-0.62%
Avg Quality
3.64
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ttceYSiOGoo
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on the correlation between various market instruments and their impact on Bitcoin's movement. The presenter highlights how strength in the USD, yields, and global market trends can influence Bitcoin's price. Specific levels and patterns are observed to predict potential price movements. The video emphasizes the importance of understanding market structure and interdependencies to make informed trading decisions.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal