Prediction Case File
AAPLstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-05-25T18:26:35monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
32.46%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
195.27000427
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
258.66
Predicted objective
Invalidation
175
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
195.27
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
32.46%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.38%
Risk / Reward
3.13
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
32.46%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-05-25T18:26:35
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-01T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-10-01T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-01T13:30:00
Max High
258.79000854
Max High At
-
Min Low
195.07000732
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
3,091.05h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
dbK7_Qwdf-0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis discusses Apple stock, observing a 26% drop from a high of around $260. The video identifies several upside gaps to fill, with the first target approximately 3% away at $200. Additional targets are noted at $210 (8% away), $223 (14% away), $228 (16% away), $237 (22% away), $246 (26% away) and the last gap estimated around 32-33% near $258. The analysis concludes that the stock presents a buying opportunity and predicts that all these gaps will likely be filled within the year 2025.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
AAPL Bullish Signal by Harry Multani | Tahlil Plus AI