Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Coinsider2026-03-11T15:37:46dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.23%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
70,139.94
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
68,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
71,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
70,000
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
3.05%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.23%
Risk / Reward
2.49
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-1.23%
closed
Current Price
-
Live Score
46.76
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-11T15:37:46
First Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Last Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved At
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved Candle
2026-03-11T17:00:00
Max High
71,321
Max High At
2026-03-11T17:00:00
Min Low
70,161.78
Min Low At
2026-03-11T16:00:00
Time To Result
1,665.4h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Coinsider
YouTube · @Coinsider
Reliability
40.8
Success Rate
27.87%
Consistency
83.22
Risk Adjusted
-12.06
Avg Return
-2.01%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-19T02:49:36
External Post ID
pkDkppZyCHQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video demonstrates the setup of DCA bots using specific technical indicators (RSI and Moving Averages) for trading cryptocurrencies like BTCUSD and ETHUSD. For BTCUSD, the bot is configured to sell when RSI is above 70 and buy back on a 1% dip, with averaging orders triggered by specific price deviations (-1%, -25%, -40%, -50%). The strategy aims for a 1% take profit and a 0.3% trailing stop loss, with a 'Move to Break Even' stop loss action. The ETHUSD bot mirrors a similar strategy but with different technical conditions: RSI below 30 and a Moving Average crossover (Fast MA > Slow MA) on a 15-minute timeframe, with averaging orders triggered by different price deviations (-50%, -25%, -10%, -5%). Both bots are set to take profit in two stages (4.2% and 7%) with a 100% reinvest profit and 0.3% trailing deviation. The overall approach focuses on profiting from volatility in a bearish or choppy market by averaging down during pullbacks and using trailing stop losses to secure gains.

Original Caption

My Bear Market Trading Bot Setup Investing during a bear market is tough, but there can be plenty of opportunities for traders! That's why in today's sponsored video I want to share with you 2 specific trading bots that I have running on 3Commas. There's a simple Spot Short one as well as a Pair bot that follows the daily trend for ETH. Give it a watch and let me know if you have any questions! Try out 3Commas EXPERT Plan for FREE for 2 months: https://app.3commas.io/auth/registration?utm_source=referral&utm_medium=cabinet&c=coinsider Safe Spot Short BTC bot: https://app.3commas.io/bots/16782039/shared_show?utm_source=dca&utm_medium=cabinet&secret=acc8540b09&c=tc776222 Trend Follow Short: https://app.3commas.io/bots/16777485/shared_show?utm_source=dca&utm_medium=cabinet&secret=0c362e3282&c=tc776222 Trend Follow Long: https://app.3commas.io/bots/16777482/shared_show?utm_source=dca&utm_medium=cabinet&secret=2918dc0a6b&c=tc776222 Use my CODE: llnegO0D Max 300 users so sign up TODAY to take advantage of this offer #Bitcoin #Crypto #Bots #BearMarket #3Commas

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal