Prediction Case File
NVDAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Kenan Grace2026-02-20T22:04:46dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.45%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
189.83000183
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
210
Predicted objective
Invalidation
170
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
182
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
10.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.45%
Risk / Reward
1.02
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-10.45%
closed
Current Price
-
Live Score
45.45
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-20T22:04:46
First Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Last Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved At
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved Candle
2026-03-27T13:30:00
Max High
197.62989807
Max High At
2026-02-25T16:30:00
Min Low
167.80000305
Min Low At
2026-03-27T13:30:00
Time To Result
2,114.95h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Kenan Grace
YouTube · @KenanGrace
Reliability
49.38
Success Rate
43.24%
Consistency
86.26
Risk Adjusted
-7.43
Avg Return
-1.6%
Avg Quality
3.19
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-19T03:01:10
External Post ID
CR99kLV7oa8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on a bullish outlook for three major tech stocks: NVDA, TSLA, and MSFT. NVDA is currently trading at $182 and is predicted to reach a target of $210. The fail bound for this bullish setup is set at $170, indicating that a move below this level would invalidate the upward trend. TSLA is currently priced at $175, with a target of $200. The fail bound for TSLA is $160. Microsoft (MSFT) is trading at $300 and is expected to move towards $330, with a fail bound of $290. All three stocks are exhibiting a bullish trend, and the analysis suggests continued upward momentum with clearly defined targets and invalidation levels.

Original Caption

follow my leads to 7billion

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal