Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Moneyvest2026-05-13T04:16:11dailytechnical
Live Outcome
3.82%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
433.45001221
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
450
Predicted objective
Invalidation
420
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
433.45
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
3.82%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.1%
Risk / Reward
1.23
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
3.82%
closed
Current Price
-
Live Score
59.04
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-05-13T04:16:11
First Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Last Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved At
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved Candle
2026-05-13T14:30:00
Max High
451.47000122
Max High At
2026-05-13T14:30:00
Min Low
430.20999146
Min Low At
2026-05-13T13:30:00
Time To Result
164.75h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Moneyvest
YouTube · @moneyvestpro
Reliability
56.58
Success Rate
47.08%
Consistency
92.89
Risk Adjusted
-3.12
Avg Return
0.09%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-19T03:29:26
External Post ID
YCx8vCocdjM
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The market is showing mixed signals. While major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are experiencing a pullback and showing signs of being overbought, several tech stocks like AAPL, NVDA, and MSFT are continuing to make new highs or show bullish momentum. Conversely, TSLA and META are showing signs of weakness and potential pullbacks. The overall sentiment is cautious, with a potential for further downside in the indices if key support levels are breached, while specific tech stocks are showing resilience. Investors should be mindful of the broad market trend versus individual stock performance.

Original Caption

🚨 [BE READY] Sell Off Starting?! CPI Spikes to highest level in 3 years!! 🎉 Join 1,400+ Members on Moneyvest (20% OFF) ONLY $31/month ► https://www.patreon.com/join/moneyvest 📲 Connect with me: Kartik's Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/kaswrp/ Moneyvest Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/moneyvestpro Twitter ► https://twitter.com/moneyvesting DISCLAIMER I am not a Financial or Investment advisor. This is not financial or investment advice. All information is for entertainment purposes only. To read the full disclaimer, please visit ► https://bit.ly/3BiJlxe

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal