Prediction Case File
ES1!stockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Trading Titan2026-02-23T20:50:33intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.58%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
6,860.25
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
6,700
Predicted objective
Invalidation
6,900
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
6,839
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
2.34%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.58%
Risk / Reward
4.03
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-0.58%
closed
Current Price
-
Live Score
59.52
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-23T20:50:33
First Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Last Checked
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved At
2026-05-20T01:01:57
Resolved Candle
2026-02-24T17:00:00
Max High
6,907.5
Max High At
2026-02-24T17:00:00
Min Low
6,828.5
Min Low At
2026-02-24T14:00:00
Time To Result
2,044.18h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Trading Titan
YouTube · @tradingtitan9586
Reliability
54.87
Success Rate
44.65%
Consistency
93.63
Risk Adjusted
-1.28
Avg Return
0.57%
Avg Quality
3.61
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-19T04:50:16
External Post ID
lpCsR73d2D8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on the bearish outlook for multiple major indices and stocks, including NQ1!, ES1!, QQQ, VIX, NVDA, AMD, TSLA, and IWM. The NQ1! shows a falling wedge pattern with a target of 25800.0 and a fail bound at 24300.0. ES1! is also showing a bearish trend with a target of 6700.0 and a fail bound at 6900.0. QQQ is identified as bearish with a target of 583.0 and a fail bound at 620.0, while VIX is expected to trend downwards towards 17.0 with a fail bound at 22.75. NVDA, AMD, TSLA, and IWM are all showing bearish patterns, with NVDA targeting 181.0 (fail 205.0), AMD targeting 189.0 (fail 204.0), TSLA targeting 390.0 (fail 410.0), and IWM targeting 237.0 (fail 264.0). The overall market sentiment is bearish, with a strong emphasis on the potential for further downside across these key assets.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
ES1! Bearish Signal by Trading Titan | Tahlil Plus AI