Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-08-15T22:00:11intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.28%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
117,323.47
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
119,100
Predicted objective
Invalidation
117,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
117,500
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
1.51%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.28%
Risk / Reward
5.49
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-0.28%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-15T22:00:11
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-18T01:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-18T01:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-18T01:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
50.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
V4mV6aSrFBI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses a recent profitable trade on BTCUSDT, focusing on trend line technical analysis. He identifies a downtrend that broke with confidence, leading to an entry after a backtest. The entry was taken at approximately 118100 expecting a rally. Stop losses were used to maintain conservativeness. The video mentions the importance of Action and safety lines and highlights how to build it. The point of control of VVR volume profile is 118. Because after the market outpaced the trendline, a new steeper uptrend safety line formed where he saw a signal to exit and secured an 11% profit. The analyst infers now Bitcoin should rally up to 119100. The initial analysis mistake was a conservative leverage of 20x, arguing for a 30x or 40x considering the lack of volatility.

Original Caption

I made a solid 12% trade last night on Toobit. Today, I'm going to show you exactly how I picked my entry, and timed my exit to maximize a long trade in a prevailing downtrending market. The market is constantly printing easy trade setups for those who know how to look! Will you make money with us on Toobit? Are you ready? Sign Up For the First Cohort Trading Group (FCTG) and start trading with myself and other expert traders RIGHT NOW! (Jebb20 20% OFF CODE ALREADY APPLIED IN LINK) - (EMAIL Malakipatz@cryptojebb.com with proof of $100 Deposit on Toobit and your UID, and we will respond with a 1 YEAR FREE coupon code for FCTG!) https://checkout.teachable.com/secure/247946/checkout/order_wkmp5wdc?coupon_code=JEBB20 Top-Tier Crypto Trading Starts Here Earn Up to $130 INSTANTLY, $30,000 CASHBACK & join exclusive campaigns just by trading Claim your spot now: https://www.toobit.com/t/btDDtE Sign up for the Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis Academy and start your journey towards Bitcoin MASTERY!: (JEBB20 20% OFF CODE ALREADY APPLIED IN THE LINK!) https://checkout.teachable.com/secure/247946/checkout/order_n9ffbzcd?coupon_code=JEBB20 Sign up for the Financial Sovereignty Academy and start your journey towards financial prosperity!: (JEBB20 20% OFF CODE ALREADY APPLIED IN THE LINK!) https://checkout.teachable.com/secure/247946/checkout/order_fxx0sw7k?coupon_code=JEBB20 GET LUX ALGO: https://luxalgo.com/?rfsn=5721802.692b0c I am not a financial adviser; this is not financial advice. I strongly encourage all to do their own research before doing anything with their money. All investments/trades/buys/sells etc. should be made at your own risk with your own capital.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal