Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wolves of Crypto2025-08-16T12:08:42weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.3%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
117,400.26
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
130,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
110,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
117,470
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
10.73%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.3%
Risk / Reward
1.7
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-6.3%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-16T12:08:42
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
223.85h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wolves of Crypto
YouTube · @WolvesOfCrypto_
Reliability
49.12
Success Rate
36.57%
Consistency
86.92
Risk Adjusted
-17.47
Avg Return
-2.45%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
jQN2X-4LOQg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides financial market analysis on Bitcoin and Ethereum. It explores Bitcoin's 4-year cycle date range trend, noting key dates and ranges for tops, bottoms, and halvings.It sets a target for Bitcoin to rally into October and considers indicators to validate that the cycle will play out. For Ethereum, it looks at the all-time high and the need to hold the $4000 area as support in order to remain bullish. Furthermore, there is an analysis of the Bitcoin dominance chart to determine altcoin season. The technical trends and patterns that are discussed have been happening over the last few cycles in the Bitcoin market

Original Caption

Topic Overview 0:00-1:48 The Bitunix Exchange 1:48-2:39 What EXACTLY Would Break The 4 Year Cycle? 2:39-7:50 What Chart Determines Altcoin Season Has Started? 7:50-10:31 What Support Does ETH Need To Hold? 10:31-13:35 Will The 13 Year Logarithmic Regression Channel Break? 13:35-16:06 Will Spot ETF's Change The Way Bitcoin Moves? 16:06-17:35 Do People Assume The Cycle Will Break Every Cycle? 17:35-19:40 The Bitunix Exchange 19:40-20:24 Bitunix Exchange Referral Link (Referral Code: 543w) - NON KYC - Lifelong 15% Fee Discount - Up To $8000 In Rewards: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=543w Telegram Community Group Chat: https://t.me/+TD-btyDvq0xjOWU1 The Crypto Academy Website: https://www.thecryptoacademy.courses/ Business Inquiries Contact: wolvesofcryptocontact@gmail.com LEGAL DISCLAIMER: It is worth noting that this video, as with all Wolves Of Crypto content, is a representation of my personal opinions on the market and should in no way be considered direct financial advice in any form. I am not responsible for your investment decisions or outcomes, analyze the charts for yourself before proceeding with a trade. This applies to every investment decision in cryptocurrency, stock market and any financial market - including investment decisions directly related to Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH & any other altcoin. This also applies regardless of the wording that I use in my content such as phrases like "you should do x" and "I suggest you do y".

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal