Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

On-Chain Mind2026-05-26T16:00:35dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-20.66%
Performance since published
Fail
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Publish Price
πŸ”’Locked
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
πŸ”’Locked
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
πŸ”’Locked
Predicted objective
Invalidation
πŸ”’Locked
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
πŸ”’Locked
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
πŸ”’Locked
Initial Invalidation Distance
πŸ”’Locked
Risk / Reward
πŸ”’Locked
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-20.66%
closed
Current Price
πŸ”’Locked
Live Score
πŸ”’Locked
Distance to Target Now
πŸ”’Locked
Distance to Invalidation Now
πŸ”’Locked
Price Structure Valid
πŸ”’Locked
Warning
πŸ”’Locked
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

πŸ”’ Premium

Quality intelligence locked

Detailed AI quality scores are part of the premium prediction case file.

Principal
πŸ”’Locked
Comprehensible
πŸ”’Locked
Accurate
πŸ”’Locked
Actionable
πŸ”’Locked
Overall
πŸ”’Locked
Derived Quality
πŸ”’Locked
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-05-26T16:00:35
First Checked
2026-05-27T01:01:45
Last Checked
2026-06-06T01:32:11
Resolved
2026-06-06T01:32:11
Resolved At
2026-06-06T01:32:11
Resolved Candle
πŸ”’Locked
Max High
πŸ”’Locked
Max High At
πŸ”’Locked
Min Low
πŸ”’Locked
Min Low At
πŸ”’Locked
Time To Result
πŸ”’Locked
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

On-Chain Mind
YouTube Β· @OnChainMind
Reliability
24.96
Success Rate
10.53%
Consistency
90
Risk Adjusted
-22.77
Avg Return
-13.3%
Avg Quality
3.79
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-26T16:18:11
External Post ID
1w66pduWWxU
Open Original Post β†’
AI Summary
πŸ”’This intelligence block requires access.
Original Caption

The EXACT Price Bitcoin’s Bull Market Returns When does the next Bitcoin bull market actually begin? Not the bottom, but the exact moment momentum mathematically flips from bear to bull. In this video, I walk through four independent on-chain and statistical models, starting simple and building to my most advanced flagship model, the Bitcoin Omega Score. We cover the 365-day moving average regime divider, the MVRV cross above its yearly moving average, the Z-Score Probability Waves mean reversion model, and the Bitcoin Omega Score composite risk metric. What’s remarkable is that all four methodologies (pure price action, on-chain profitability, statistical mean reversion, and a multi-factor composite) converge on the same tight price band as the mathematical start of the next Bitcoin bull market. If you want to understand how to time bull market resumptions using rigorous on-chain analysis rather than guesswork, this video breaks down the exact levels to watch and the historical hit rates behind each signal. πŸ‘‰πŸΌ Subscribe here for my free on-chain analysis newsletter and my NEW charting platform: http://onchainmind.io #Bitcoin #OnChainAnalysis #BitcoinBullMarket #MVRV #BitcoinAnalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal