Prediction Case File
ETHBTCcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-08-16T17:33:30intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-7.94%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.0374
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.03396
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.04037
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.03739
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
9.2%
Initial Invalidation Distance
7.94%
Risk / Reward
1.16
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-7.94%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-16T17:33:30
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-22T16:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-22T16:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-22T16:00:00
Max High
0.041
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.03607
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
142.43h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.92
Success Rate
33.4%
Consistency
84.65
Risk Adjusted
-14.95
Avg Return
-4.52%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
dYjC1g9Ij-k
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis begins with ETHUSD at 4404.06 indicating current corrective pullback with support area defined between 4123.69 and 4272.37. The primary focus is on identifying if ETH will be able to stay above 4123.69 level so the bull trend continue. The secondary symbol analyzed is ETHBTC, where a likely pullback continues, with a defined support zone between 0.03396 and 0.02894. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin could outperform Ethereum, but the the price should hold above 0.02894. The support is determined to be between 12.61 and 11 percent based on a fourth wave formation, very much inline with the ETHBTC chart. The overall consideration is whether the market is a correction of a trend reversal and indicates the 38.2% retracement is magnetic for the wave 4, emphasizing the importance of holding above the breakout point at the 4123.69 for the potential for ETH to reach 4907.32.

Original Caption

Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions Voucher code: GOLDSUB Ethereum Support and Resistance Levels: Latest Elliott Wave Forecast for ETH and Microstructure ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MCO Global: https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ️ Join the FREE Newsletter: https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions OR https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline Join the S&P500 & Stocks Service https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Trading Online: https://www.youtube.com/@moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Forex Online: https://www.youtube.com/@MoreForexOnline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Social Media: WhatsApp News & Updates: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaZ0h5B3mFYBkWRWCY0K X / Twitter: https://x.com/Morecryptoonl Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ Facebook: https://facebook.com/morecryptoonline Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/more-crypto-online/ Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@more_crypto_online All MCO Global Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ️ In case of questions just reach out to us: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exchanges / Products: Bitget: Trade with Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline Receive a $15 bonus Trade on Bybit: Receive an up to $30,000 bonus (see terms on Bybit) https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO TradingView: https://bit.ly/Crypto_Tradingview Trade on Coinbase: Receive $10 in BTC (see terms on website): https://bit.ly/MCOinbase Trade on Binance: Receive a 15% fee discount (lifetime) when using this link. https://accounts.binance.com/en/register?ref=XNWEZH08 Trade on Kucoin: Receive a 20% fee discount: https://www.kucoin.com/r/af/QBSSSL4T Trade with eToro: https://etoro.tw/3oFUKCk Trade with Trading212: Receive shares worth up to $100: https://bit.ly/Trading212MCO Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal