Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Satoshi Stacker2026-05-28T10:37:07dailytechnical
Live Outcome
0.17%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
73,446
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
73,318.59
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
71,400
Predicted objective
Invalidation
74,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
73,414.54
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
2.79%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.75%
Risk / Reward
3.69
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
0.17%
closed
Current Price
73,318.59
Live Score
54.74
Distance to Target Now
2.62%
Distance to Invalidation Now
0.93%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-05-28T10:37:07
First Checked
2026-05-29T01:01:32
Last Checked
2026-05-29T01:33:45
Resolved
2026-05-29T01:33:45
Resolved At
2026-05-29T01:33:45
Resolved Candle
2026-05-28T02:00:00
Max High
74,400
Max High At
2026-05-28T02:00:00
Min Low
72,582.82
Min Low At
2026-05-28T14:00:00
Time To Result
14.93h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Satoshi Stacker
YouTube · @stackersatoshi
Reliability
50.64
Success Rate
38.71%
Consistency
89.82
Risk Adjusted
-8.43
Avg Return
-2.34%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-05-28T10:53:43
External Post ID
ClNFwelLHTc
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The market analysis indicates a bearish trend across multiple assets, including BTC, ES1!, XAUUSD, NVDA, SAND, ETHUSDT, SOLUSDT, META, INTC, AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, and TSLA. For BTCUSDT, the current price is 73414.54, with a target of 71400.0 and a fail bound of 74000.0. The analysis for ES1! shows a bullish trend with a current price of 7529.75, a target of 7600.0, and a fail bound of 7450.0. XAUUSD is bearish, trading at 92.79, with a target of 90.0 and a fail bound of 95.0. NVDA is bearish at 211.44, targeting 200.0 with a fail bound of 215.0. SAND is bearish at 0.47, targeting 0.45 with a fail bound of 0.48. ETHUSDT is bearish at 2897.79, targeting 2800.0 with a fail bound of 2950.0. SOLUSDT shows a bearish trend at 80.38, targeting 77.0 with a fail bound of 82.0. META is bearish at 655.21, targeting 200.0 with a fail bound of 670.0. INTC is bearish at 35.33, targeting 33.0 with a fail bound of 36.5. AAPL is bearish at 210.87, targeting 205.0 with a fail bound of 214.0. AMZN is bearish at 185.67, targeting 175.0 with a fail bound of 190.0. GOOGL is bearish at 171.56, targeting 165.0 with a fail bound of 175.0. TSLA is bearish at 173.40, targeting 160.0 with a fail bound of 177.0. The overall market sentiment for most assets discussed is bearish, with potential pullbacks expected.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal