Prediction Case File
SPYstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2026-06-02T19:46:06weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.7%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
759.4699707
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
754.19000244
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
762
Predicted objective
Invalidation
755
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
760.39
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
0.33%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.59%
Risk / Reward
0.57
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-0.7%
closed
Current Price
754.19000244
Live Score
59.18
Distance to Target Now
1.04%
Distance to Invalidation Now
-0.11%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-02T19:46:06
First Checked
2026-06-04T01:01:33
Last Checked
2026-06-04T01:01:33
Resolved
2026-06-04T01:01:33
Resolved At
2026-06-04T01:01:33
Resolved Candle
2026-06-03T13:30:00
Max High
758.79998779
Max High At
2026-06-03T13:30:00
Min Low
754.73999023
Min Low At
2026-06-03T13:30:00
Time To Result
29.25h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.35
Success Rate
39.62%
Consistency
88.45
Risk Adjusted
-8.5
Avg Return
-0.87%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-02T20:44:59
External Post ID
G-FKyJeQf6A
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on two stocks, SOFI and SPY. For SOFI, the speaker notes a recent strong surge breaking through resistance at 11.62 and previously at 11.08. The price has recently approached the 13.53 level, with a potential target of 14.31. The analysis suggests a possible bullish continuation, with a failure bound set below 13.00. The stock has shown volatility but strong buyer interest. For SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust), the market is described as in a strong uptrend, with price action showing bullish momentum. The current price is around 760.39, with a target of 762.00. The analysis suggests a potential continuation of this uptrend, with a fail bound below 755.00. The overall sentiment for both assets is bullish, indicating confidence in further upward movement, with the analysis highlighting the potential for breakout continuation based on price action and key support/resistance levels.

Original Caption

ONDS Breakout Move Triggered? | ONDS Stock Analysis ONDS (Ondas Inc.) stock has been breaking out after ripping past a key resistance level. With today's indecisive trading day, is this a sign the sellers are stepping in or an indicator that the buyers are building energy for more? In this analysis, we break down the key levels on ONDS, potential scenarios, and how broader market conditions could impact price in the coming days and weeks. 📈 Want to be able to read charts and take good trades with confidence? I built The Traders Framework: Chart Reading, Structure & Decision-Making 🏆 Get Access Here: https://ianctrades.com Subscribe for weekly trading insights, strategies, and market breakdowns. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. #onds #ondas #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal