Prediction Case File
MSFTstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2026-06-03T12:49:40dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-5.86%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
437.39001465
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
411.73999023
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
450
Predicted objective
Invalidation
410
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
430
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.88%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.26%
Risk / Reward
0.46
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-5.86%
closed
Current Price
411.73999023
Live Score
58.52
Distance to Target Now
9.29%
Distance to Invalidation Now
0.42%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-03T12:49:40
First Checked
2026-06-04T01:01:33
Last Checked
2026-06-09T01:31:42
Resolved
2026-06-09T01:31:42
Resolved At
2026-06-09T01:31:42
Resolved Candle
2026-06-08T15:30:00
Max High
440.39001465
Max High At
2026-06-03T13:30:00
Min Low
409.82000732
Min Low At
2026-06-08T15:30:00
Time To Result
132.7h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-03T13:30:50
External Post ID
VsoU3PH34Wg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The market analysis focuses on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX) indices, showing a persistent bullish trend with potential targets at 5500 for SPX and 20000 for NDX, assuming failure below 5100 and 18000 respectively. Several tech stocks like TSLA, NVDA, META, GOOG, MSFT, AMZN, NFLX, CB, XLE, and CNQ are also showing bullish momentum. Specifically, TSLA is targeting 190 with a failure bound at 160, NVDA at 950 (fail 850), META at 510 (fail 470), GOOG at 185 (fail 165), MSFT at 450 (fail 410), AMZN at 195 (fail 175), NFLX at 700 (fail 640), CB at 215 (fail 195), XLE at 102 (fail 95), and CNQ at 65 (fail 55). Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is also in an uptrend, targeting 70000 with a failure point at 65000. Gold (XAUUSD) is also bullish, aiming for 2400 with a stop loss at 2300.

Original Caption

Bitcoin and Stock Market Technical Analysis Click Youtube channel link below to Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCruE6nggpVnCYclIPxATeVA/join Discord Server Link: Please comment on video to join Discord Server. If you like video please donate : https://paypal.me/linktoharry?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US These video's are for education only, Invest at your own risk, not a financial advise #fomc #stockmarket #daytrading #stockmarketanalysis #optionstrading #tradeideas #technicalanalysis #stockmarketcrash #us500 #mes #mnq #spx #emini #spy #us100 #ndx #qqq #us30 #dji #us2000 #iwm #russell2000 #vix #bitcoin #ethereum #btc #btcusd #eth #ethusd #crypto #cryptocurrency #gold #gc #silver #dollar #dxy #crudeoil #oil #cl #naturalgas #ng #ung #crwd #tesla #tsla #apple #appl #msft #amd #nvda #meta #nflx #amd #now #avgo #xlc #xle #xlu #xlv #xlk #xli #xlf #gdx #gdxu #gdxj #sugar #cane #corn #wheat #weat #soyabean #soyb #commodity #tqqq #sqqq #fngu #fngd #bulz #soxl #soxs #qqu #qqd #viral #viralvideo #viralshorts #nasdaq #sp500

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
MSFT Bullish Signal by Harry Multani | Tahlil Plus AI