Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Moneyvest2026-06-04T04:11:48dailytechnical
Live Outcome
9.94%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
423.73001099
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
381.61999512
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
383.83
Predicted objective
Invalidation
430
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
423.7
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
9.42%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.48%
Risk / Reward
6.36
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
9.94%
closed
Current Price
381.61999512
Live Score
60.6
Distance to Target Now
-0.58%
Distance to Invalidation Now
12.68%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-04T04:11:48
First Checked
2026-06-05T01:01:29
Last Checked
2026-06-11T01:31:42
Resolved
2026-06-11T01:31:42
Resolved At
2026-06-11T01:31:42
Resolved Candle
2026-06-10T14:30:00
Max High
426.34991455
Max High At
2026-06-04T13:30:00
Min Low
383.16000366
Min Low At
2026-06-10T14:30:00
Time To Result
165.32h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Moneyvest
YouTube · @moneyvestpro
Reliability
56.58
Success Rate
47.08%
Consistency
92.89
Risk Adjusted
-3.12
Avg Return
0.09%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-04T04:55:52
External Post ID
KtqLdRpVuP8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The overall market sentiment is bearish, with major indices like the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq (NDX) showing signs of weakness and potential pullbacks. SPX is testing support around 7200, with a potential further decline to 7000 if it breaks below. Similarly, NDX is approaching support at 25370, with a failure below this level suggesting a drop to 23000. Tech stocks are particularly vulnerable; AAPL is down 4.94% from its ATH and is eyeing support at 283.83, while AMZN is down 2.59% and could drop to 241.0. TSLA is also showing weakness, breaking below a short-term ascending channel and testing support at 383.83. NVDA, despite recent strength, is also showing signs of exhaustion and has support at 214.95 and 190.90. Broadcom (AVGO) has seen a significant drop of 2.94% after earnings, indicating potential downside towards 400. The overall market trend appears to be shifting downwards.

Original Caption

🚨 URGENT Warning for ALL Investors!! Sell OFF Starting?! BE CASH READY NOW 🎉 Join 1,400+ Members on Moneyvest (20% OFF) ONLY $31/month ► https://www.patreon.com/join/moneyvest 📲 Connect with me: Kartik's Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/kaswrp/ Moneyvest Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/moneyvestpro Twitter ► https://twitter.com/moneyvesting DISCLAIMER I am not a Financial or Investment advisor. This is not financial or investment advice. All information is for entertainment purposes only. To read the full disclaimer, please visit ► https://bit.ly/3BiJlxe

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal