Prediction Case File
PWRstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

JayWave2026-06-04T09:00:09dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-9.09%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
715.97998047
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
650.90997314
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
816
Predicted objective
Invalidation
650
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
687.48
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.97%
Initial Invalidation Distance
9.22%
Risk / Reward
1.52
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-9.09%
closed
Current Price
650.90997314
Live Score
38.95
Distance to Target Now
25.36%
Distance to Invalidation Now
0.14%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-04T09:00:09
First Checked
2026-06-05T01:01:29
Last Checked
2026-06-11T01:31:43
Resolved
2026-06-11T01:31:43
Resolved At
2026-06-11T01:31:43
Resolved Candle
2026-06-10T14:30:00
Max High
722.5
Max High At
2026-06-04T18:30:00
Min Low
644.71002197
Min Low At
2026-06-10T14:30:00
Time To Result
160.52h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

JayWave
YouTube · @JayWaveOfficial
Reliability
52.19
Success Rate
41.13%
Consistency
91.18
Risk Adjusted
-7.53
Avg Return
-1.6%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-04T09:37:02
External Post ID
JEWJIwIF-GA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Quanta Services (PWR), with the current price at $687.48, showing a bullish trend. The technical analysis suggests an upward movement with a target price of $816.00. The fail bound, or invalidation point, is set at $650.00, which would indicate a shift in the trend. The price action on the daily chart shows a strong upward trend, with prices moving above key moving averages. The weekly chart also suggests a bullish sentiment, with potential for further upside. The current price, when evaluated against Fibonacci retracements, shows the stock is trading above key support levels. The analysis implies that if the stock breaks below $650.00, the bullish thesis would be invalidated. The analysis is based on technical indicators and price action, aiming to identify a swing trading opportunity.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal