Prediction Case File
INTCstockbearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Satoshi Stacker2026-06-04T10:19:46dailytechnical
Live Outcome
12.21%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
112.72000122
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
98.95999908
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
106.82
Predicted objective
Invalidation
115
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
110.21
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
5.23%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.02%
Risk / Reward
2.59
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
12.21%
closed
Current Price
98.95999908
Live Score
40.58
Distance to Target Now
-7.94%
Distance to Invalidation Now
16.21%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-06-04T10:19:46
First Checked
2026-06-05T01:01:29
Last Checked
2026-06-06T01:31:43
Resolved
2026-06-06T01:31:43
Resolved At
2026-06-06T01:31:43
Resolved Candle
2026-06-05T13:30:00
Max High
113.13999939
Max High At
2026-06-04T17:30:00
Min Low
103.70999908
Min Low At
2026-06-05T13:30:00
Time To Result
39.18h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Satoshi Stacker
YouTube · @stackersatoshi
Reliability
50.64
Success Rate
38.71%
Consistency
89.82
Risk Adjusted
-8.43
Avg Return
-2.34%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
gemini-2.5-flash-lite
Processed At
2026-06-04T10:54:47
External Post ID
CHq1umpzi7w
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The market is showing weakness across major assets. Bitcoin has fallen below a significant support level around $63,000 and is currently testing previous swing lows. A break below $63,000 would target $58,000, with a fail bound at $64,500 invalidating the bearish thesis. Ethereum is also in a downtrend, showing weakness at $1750, with a target of $1500 and a fail bound at $1850. Several tech stocks are also showing signs of reversal. NVIDIA is approaching a key support at $196.27, with a fail bound at $225. META is attempting to hold support at $417.75, with a failure at $435. Intel is also testing support at $106.82, with a failure bound at $115. The overall market sentiment appears to be shifting towards bearishness, with many assets struggling to hold key levels.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal