Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-08-20T05:50:40dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.2%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
113,632.02
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
128,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
110,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
112,770
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
12.64%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.2%
Risk / Reward
3.96
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-3.2%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-20T05:50:40
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
134.15h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
9_x_u-DWgj4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes the daily Bitcoin chart, noting a rare seven counts buy signal. The analysis points out that the current price is approaching previous support levels. A box is drawn around a previous high around 110000 to 115000, suggesting this area could act as a support zone. Before the buy signal there were seven counts, eight counts, and nine counts sell signals from monday August 11 to wednesday August 13. The analysis suggest not to ignore the buy signal and indicates that Bitcoin is about to bottom. The analyst anticipates the bottom to be in this box around 109000 to 115000, and indicates this could be a point to buy. The analyst predicts a rally to new highs from here.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal