Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Qriptal2025-08-20T16:00:18intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.94%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
113,403.43
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
111,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
115,600
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
113,209.5
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
2.12%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.94%
Risk / Reward
1.09
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-1.94%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-20T16:00:18
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-22T14:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-22T14:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-22T14:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
45.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Qriptal
YouTube · @qriptal
Reliability
52.42
Success Rate
40.95%
Consistency
90.11
Risk Adjusted
-6.31
Avg Return
1.17%
Avg Quality
3.75
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Z1Vf5xwdxuA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis reviews a previous Bitcoin trade based on an hourly candle close above a support level at $114,700, resulting in a long position with a profit target implemented at $116,529. After the take profit the remainder of the long position was stopped out as price moved downwards.. Current analysis focuses on the 4H chart, identifying a four-hour imbalance and order block between $115,200 and $115,600 and $115,2 and , suggesting a short position upon a move into that orderblock to the downside with a target of $111,000. Alternatively, a break above the imbalance area would lead to longing the retracements to upside with a target of 117000 . A key support area to be aware of is near 107500 dollars.

Original Caption

#btc #bitcoin #trading #technicalanalysis #bitcointoday #bitcoinprediction Trade with a 30% fee discount on Bitunix using our referral: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=Qriptal Get access to our imbalance indicator: https://www.qriptal.com/

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal