Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Qriptal2025-06-02T04:28:34intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.87%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
104,915.1
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
107,800
Predicted objective
Invalidation
101,900
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
104,740
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.75%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.87%
Risk / Reward
0.96
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-2.87%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-06-02T04:28:34
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-06-05T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-06-05T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-06-05T19:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
86.52h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Qriptal
YouTube · @qriptal
Reliability
52.42
Success Rate
40.95%
Consistency
90.11
Risk Adjusted
-6.31
Avg Return
1.17%
Avg Quality
3.75
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Vpns0AVrii0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis reviews the previous week's Bitcoin trading plan, noting a successful long position from 105.9k to 111.6k. It then forecasts a likely scenario for the upcoming week: Bitcoin bouncing towards the weekly close, dropping to finalize a four-hour imbalance, and then potentially bouncing again. A target price of 107.8k is set with a support level at 102.9k. Further technical remarks are made on ETH and QATO in the context of BTC.

Original Caption

Last week's plan on BTC played out very accurately with a bouce from our support and then a rejection and weekly at our resistance at 110.7k With a big drop to end the week and month and bearish closes across the board, should you expect lower prices and a break of 100k? Or is this a bear trap before a new all time high? #bitcoin #btc #trading #technicalanalysis #bitcoinlive #altcoins #crypto

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal