Prediction Case File
TONUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-08-22T19:33:26monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-20.17%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3.382
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
4
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2.7
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3.32
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
18.27%
Initial Invalidation Distance
20.17%
Risk / Reward
0.91
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-20.17%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-22T19:33:26
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Max High
3.442
Max High At
-
Min Low
2.581
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
730.43h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.32
Success Rate
30.1%
Consistency
80.23
Risk Adjusted
-26.25
Avg Return
-6.72%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
l7b6D0_hfaE
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a crypto market analysis, identifying five cryptocurrencies with potential for price increases. Solana is undervalued and could reach $250 by the year's end, potentially peaking at $300-$350, The analysis also suggest buying in the $150 region. TON coin could return to $4 to $5, Token 6900, has a presale ending soon. For EPIC chain, could see this go to $4, $5, $6, $7, $8. SPX has a target price of $2. The current market trend is bullish.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal