Prediction Case File
PENGUUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-08-08T23:00:27dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-17.34%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.037503
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.0466
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.031
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.03635
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
24.26%
Initial Invalidation Distance
17.34%
Risk / Reward
1.4
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-17.34%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-08T23:00:27
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-15T15:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-15T15:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-15T15:00:00
Max High
0.041867
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.030841
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
159.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.33
Success Rate
30.1%
Consistency
80.23
Risk Adjusted
-26.25
Avg Return
-6.72%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
S2dTUY7rX_8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Pudgy Penguins and Ethereum. Ethereum has tapped into $4000, a significant level indicating a bullish trend for alts and memes. Pudgy Penguins is at $0.03654, up 150% on the month. The analysis identifies a descending channel breakout, now trading within a symmetrical triangle on the 1D timeframe. A breakout upward could lead to a 16% gain to $0.043, or a push to $0.054. For Pudgy Penguins, if the price declines to $0.031 the analysis is no longer valid. The Altcoin Season Index is at 41, indicating not yet in alt season. The video also mentions Token 6900 as a 10x potential, $5 million hard cap, starting at $0.0064 now at $0.0068, with $1.7 million raised and mentions target is $0.0466.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal