Prediction Case File
NVDAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

TraderNick - Stocks2025-07-31T16:33:52dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.41%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
177.8500061
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
190
Predicted objective
Invalidation
170
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
181.71
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
6.83%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.41%
Risk / Reward
1.55
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-4.41%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality88.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-31T16:33:52
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-20T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-20T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-20T13:30:00
Max High
184.47999573
Max High At
-
Min Low
168.80099487
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
476.93h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

TraderNick - Stocks
YouTube · @TraderNick-Stocks
Reliability
59.82
Success Rate
51.71%
Consistency
92.14
Risk Adjusted
-3.23
Avg Return
0.35%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
llO0NoVQGkQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes META, MSFT, HOOD, and NVDA using daily and weekly charts with SMA. META, currently at $779.03, is expected to gap and go higher, but a retest of lower areas is also possible. Microsoft, now at $541.17, is not owned by the analyst, and the overall bias is hold. HOOD is currently at $105.14, following a post-earnings drop and after hours launch up to $111. There's also a potential for the share price to decrease. Finally, NVDA is trading at $181.71. The video references a potential covered call position and selling, indicating a bullish bias. It estimates that if you bought at the lowest META price and sold now you would have a 7X return.

Original Caption

Get StockBox https://www.a1trading.com/stockbox/ Get My Stock Trade Alerts https://a1trading.com/vip/ (Use code YTVIP for a subscriber discount!) ️ StockBox Trial: https://tinyurl.com/3rbcxjv3 ️ FREE Options course: https://form.jotform.com/250984400660152 Join Discord: https://tinyurl.com/2yfhyt2r Telegram channel: https://t.me/a1stocksandoptions *Brokers for US traders (+ Welcome Bonuses!)* WeBull (Stocks/futures): https://tinyurl.com/3j989sz6 Plus500 (Futures): https://tinyurl.com/5n8c3ahs *Brokers for Non-US traders (+ Welcome Bonuses!)* Eightcap (Stocks / Indices CFDs): https://tinyurl.com/htcdat5u Vantage (Stocks / Indices CFDs): https://tinyurl.com/2ae9e73k *TradingView indicators* ⬆️ Momentum Indicator: https://tinyurl.com/59p45am7 ⬆️ Extension Zones: https://tinyurl.com/ytr8va6r *My ONLY real social media accounts:* Twitter: https://x.com/tradernickfx IG: https://www.instagram.com/tradernickfx/ FB: https://www.facebook.com/tradernickfx TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tradernickfx #trading #stocks #options DISCLAIMERS This video expresses our personal opinions only, and is NOT in any way financial advice. Trading financial markets involves risk, and is not suitable for all investors. We are not responsible for any losses incurred due to your trading or anything else. We do not recommend any specific trade or action. Note, please do your own due diligence before making a decision to do business with any financial brokerage. A1 Trading will make a small affiliate commission should you choose to sign up for either of the affiliated brokers above. Thank you for supporting the channel! Please be aware of impersonators online: We will not message people directly asking for payment. Please be aware of impersonators and do not send money to any account that is not listed on our website. 0:00 - Stock Earnings 1:23 - Nvidia 2:08 - Meta 6:49 - Microsoft 9:19 - Robinhood 12:06 - Current Open Positions

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal