Prediction Case File
BBAIstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2025-08-05T00:46:24weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-25.25%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
7.09000015
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
8.72
Predicted objective
Invalidation
5.3
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
7.09
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
22.99%
Initial Invalidation Distance
25.25%
Risk / Reward
0.91
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-25.25%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-05T00:46:24
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-12T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-12T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-12T13:30:00
Max High
7.38999987
Max High At
-
Min Low
4.76999998
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
180.72h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.35
Success Rate
39.62%
Consistency
88.45
Risk Adjusted
-8.5
Avg Return
-0.87%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
FZO4AqrKBWw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on BBAI stock, using daily and weekly charts. It identifies a descending range and a pennant-like structure. Key support is around $6.22 and $6.06, with rejection around $7.87. The analysis mentions prior price action including reaching an all time high of $10.36. The stock has been holding the $6 level for six weeks and identifies decreasing weekly volume and stair step pattern on the hourly chart. A retest of the $7.87 level is expected with potential movement to $8.72 and above if volume returns and finds a breakout to the $10 dollar level.

Original Caption

Using Technical Analysis, we analyzed Big Bear Ai Holdings (BBAI) stock and predicted where price would go within the next few days to weeks. If you found value from this video, consider subscribing for more! Comment your $BBAI price predictions below and any other stocks that you would like me to cover! Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor #bbai #stockmarketanalysis #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal