Prediction Case File
SOFIstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Moneyvest2025-07-30T19:17:32dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-32.83%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
21.91500092
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
10.8
Predicted objective
Invalidation
29.11
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
21.8
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
50.72%
Initial Invalidation Distance
32.83%
Risk / Reward
1.54
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-32.83%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-30T19:17:32
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-19T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-19T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-19T13:30:00
Max High
29.43000031
Max High At
-
Min Low
20.60000038
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,218.2h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Moneyvest
YouTube · @moneyvestpro
Reliability
56.58
Success Rate
47.08%
Consistency
92.89
Risk Adjusted
-3.12
Avg Return
0.09%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
IClWD37VdXo
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes several stocks and indices post FOMC, and J. Powell speech on July 30, 2025. It covers Tesla (TSLA), predicting bearish breakout from symmetrical triangle with a price target of 269.18 and a fail bound of 334.07. As well, the presenter evaluates the S&P 500 (SPX), and NASDAQ IXIC predicting range-bound trends. There is also a short thesis for NVIDIA NVDA expecting this stock to reach $160 with a fail-bound of $187.74; and also another short thesis for SOFI expecting it to reachtarget to $10.80 and not overpass $29.11. J. Powell discusses the moderation of economic activity. He highlights risks in the labor market. He expects tariffs effects to continue affecting consumer prices as well as the uncertainty from the governmental side.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal