Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Qriptal2025-07-06T19:40:20intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.64%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
2,533.24
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
2,388
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2,600
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
2,545.81
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
5.73%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.64%
Risk / Reward
2.18
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-2.64%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-06T19:40:20
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-07-06T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-07-06T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-07-06T21:00:00
Max High
2,602.38
Max High At
-
Min Low
2,533.24
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1.32h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Qriptal
YouTube · @qriptal
Reliability
52.42
Success Rate
40.95%
Consistency
90.11
Risk Adjusted
-6.31
Avg Return
1.17%
Avg Quality
3.75
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
g84Z8Hf9M1k
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The expert analyzes Bitcoin, Ethereum, Aave and Sei cryptocurrencies. For Bitcoin, the expert has a plan for front-running highs around 110700.0 and then potentially taking a short for 100100.0 or if that level is lost then it will be a deep retracement . For Ethereum on a higher timeframe, there is an unfilled imbalance around 1800.00 , however, the plan is for Ethereum's price to go down to retest a level around 2388.0 then bounce back, but has a very ugly weekly chart , for SEI the price action is a potential move to 0.2 at the psychological level. Aave looks set for a deeper retracement at about 220.0. Solana has a planned drop into the support level, but he needs it at that area. The speaker says if Ethereum price will crash then the bitcoin will go down to the quarterly pivot at 100100.0.

Original Caption

#btc #bitcoin #trading #technicalanalysis #bitcointoday #bitcoinprediction Trade with a 30% fee discount on Bitunix using our referral: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=Qriptal Get access to our imbalance indicator: https://www.qriptal.com/

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal