Prediction Case File
BITXcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Moneyvest2025-08-26T03:20:15dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-11.97%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
50.90530174
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
49
Predicted objective
Invalidation
57
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
54.35
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
3.74%
Initial Invalidation Distance
11.97%
Risk / Reward
0.31
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-11.97%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-26T03:20:15
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:31
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:31
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:03:31
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:03:31
Resolved Candle
2025-09-12T13:30:00
Max High
57.68999863
Max High At
2025-09-12T13:30:00
Min Low
50.69029999
Min Low At
2025-08-29T18:30:00
Time To Result
6,381.72h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Moneyvest
YouTube · @moneyvestpro
Reliability
56.58
Success Rate
47.08%
Consistency
92.89
Risk Adjusted
-3.12
Avg Return
0.09%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
xqS5XHb3wQY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst reviews the market, noting a slight pullback today. He begins with a shoutout to the Australian members of the community, acknowledging the time zone challenges they face trading the US markets. Chart analysis begins with the DJ, S&P and NASDAQ. The NASDAQ closed down over 22 basis points indicating risk off day. Portfolio remains up by over 30 basis points because of Nvidia, Tesla and SoFi. Interactive Brokers (IBKR) joins the S&P 500 to replace Walgreens and it jumps 5% in afterhours trading. Chart is now trading back up to about $65 which is 4% higher. Stock was $32 on April 7th so up nearly 100%.Palantir closes down close to 1%. Down 77 basis points, Dow Jones is selling off, S&P down 43 points, and NASDAQ off 22.Analyzes the current SPY RSI, as it is at 59.2, placing it in the 63rd percentile. Then details, outflows from the S&P 500 are at 244 billion. Charts include resistance points for Nasdaq at 21,400, the moneyvest chart and various tech company stock chart supports.

Original Caption

[5 DAYS LEFT] Join 1,300+ Members on Moneyvest (30% OFF) ONLY $20/month ► https://www.patreon.com/moneyvest Join TradingView ► https://bit.ly/3tt7mP2 Subscribe to the NEW channel ► https://www.youtube.com/@moneyvestingreads #trumptariffs Connect with us: Katty's Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/kaswrp/ Moneyvesting Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/moneyvestin/ Twitter ► https://twitter.com/moneyvesting TikTok ► http://www.tiktok.com/@moneyvesting _____________________________________________________________ DISCLOSURES: (Thank you for supporting the channel! ️) If you sign up with TradingView using my affiliate link - I will get a small commission. _____________________________________________________________ DISCLAIMER I am not a Financial or Investment advisor. This is not financial or investment advice. All information is for entertainment purposes only. To read the full disclaimer, please visit ► https://bit.ly/3BiJlxe

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
BITX Bearish Signal by Moneyvest | Tahlil Plus AI