Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Coinsider2025-08-25T17:53:52monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.25%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
112,535.99
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
145,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
110,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
112,145.9
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
28.85%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.25%
Risk / Reward
12.8
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-2.25%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-25T17:53:52
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-25T20:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
2.1h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Coinsider
YouTube · @Coinsider
Reliability
40.8
Success Rate
27.87%
Consistency
83.22
Risk Adjusted
-12.06
Avg Return
-2.01%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
JET6tumffbQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video begins with a market pulse, showing Bitcoin currently priced at $112,145.90, and Ethereum. It mentions that ETHBTC has fully reclaimed its Gaussian channel. Ethereum staking queues shifting. DrProfit KOL predicting Bitcoin will go below 100k in September. He estimates a rise to .06 for ETHBTC this cycle if Bitcoin rises to $135,000 or $145,000.

Original Caption

Let's take a closer look at what happened over the weekend when the $11B Bitcoin whale dumped a massive amount of BTC for ETH. Also let's check out the hot new platform Football.fun! Join Retail DAO: https://retaildao.xyz/ Timestamps after stream #BTC #ETH #Ethereum #Bitcoin #Footballfun #Crypto #Markets

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal